Thursday, September 19, 2019

Who Attacked the Saudi Oil Fields and What Should be the Response?

Over the weekend of September 14th, a major oil refining facility in Saudi Arabia was attacked by a series of drone and missile strikes. In a single moment, the world lost 6 percent of its total oil production and on Monday, the global price of a barrel of oil rose 14 percent. Saudi Arabia is the world's second largest producer of oil and is located on the Arabian Peninsula in the heart of the Middle East. Not all Middle Eastern countries are friends and in fact there are long ongoing rivalries amongst several neighbors in the region. The United States has been and remains a key ally to Saudi Arabia. For the last five years, Saudi Arabia has been supporting the Yemen government in their civil war against a rebel group called the Houthis. The Houthis are supported by Iran. Immediately after the attack, most news outlets were suggesting that Iran launched the attack on the oil refinery in Saudi Arabia. Some other stories reported that perhaps the Houthis launched the attacks from Yemen. The Houthis came out publicly and claimed responsibility for the attack. But, due to the sophistication of the weapons used, many believe that Iran itself launched the attack or at least directly gave the Houthis the weapons. If the Houthis launched the attack without Iranian help, it would be viewed as a relatively small regional affair. If the Iranians directly supplied the weapons to the Houthis, the United States would likely support the Saudis in a military response. The final scenario is if the Iranians themselves launched the attack from Iran. If this is the case, it would be a major global event serious enough to prompt the United States to retaliate with military force directly against Iran. Read this article from the New York Times and then post thoughtful comment answers to the following four questions:
  1. Based on the evidence from the article, who do you believe was responsible for this dramatic attack on this Saudi Arabia refinery?
  2. What should happen next - in other words, who should respond and how?
  3. Drones can now be used to take pictures and video, spy on enemies, deliver Amazon packages and create a full scale air war. How do you personally feel about the future of drone technology in the world? 
  4. Have you ever been blamed for something that was not your fault/you did not do? If so, what was that experience like and did it change anything for you in the long run?

22 comments:

  1. 1. I think that Iran is responsible for the attacks on the Saudi Oil refinery. In the article it mentions how the attacks were much more sophisticated than any other Houthis attack. In addition the article mentions that the distance from Yemen to the oil refinery was to far for the most advanced Houthis's drone to travel meaning that Iran was most likely responsible.

    2. I think that if anyone responds it should be Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia should launch some attacks on the Houthis because their military force is stronger. I don't think that the U.S. should take action because that could easily start a war between us and Iran which we wouldn't want to have happen.

    3. I feel that drones are a very cool piece of technology but they can be used in the wrong way. For example, they can be used for spying and air war which are both bad ways to use the drone. The future of drones will probably result in less privacy for most people and other bad things.

    4. I have been blamed for many things in my life which I never did. The experience was very frustrating because I tried to explain my side of the event and nobody listened to it. It didn't change anything in the long run because I still got in trouble for it.

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  2. 1. Judging from the evidence shown, the most likely attacker is Iran. The Houthis simply do not have the means to access the advanced technology needed for such a precise attack. Also, even if the Houthis did have such technology, such drones would not be able to fly the long trip from Yemen to Saudi Arabia.

    2. Because they were the ones attacked, it is only logical to say that the Saudis should react strongly against the attackers, whether it be Iran or the Houthis. If the US was to retaliate due to their alliance with Saudi Arabia, it could start a war, which is never a good thing.

    3. I think the future of drone technology is a very complicated subject, as they can be both toys and weapons of war. I personally like drones because they're fun to mess around with and film cool videos with. However, they pose a threat to public privacy since anyone with a drone can record people without their consent very easily.

    4. I get blamed for many things at home, as I am the oldest and all the responsibility falls upon my shoulders. Generally, when something bad happens and I am around, I get blamed for it. Also, my brother will pretend to be hit by me, and as I am bigger, my parents assume it to be true, and I get in trouble. In the long run, nothing really changes, but sometimes it changes my parent's assumptions of what will happen if my brother is being annoying.

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  4. 1. I believe that the Houthis are directly responsible but Iran provided the weapons The article states that this attack was refined than past attacks on the Saudi Arabian government but I also believe that Iran would realize that if it was uncovered that they themselves had administered the attack a war would most likely occur.

    2. I believe that the Saudi Arabian government should react. If the United States were to interfere it could create a larger problem.

    3. I like the advanced drone technology that we have today. They are fun, helpful let us see new perspectives. However, now they are being corrupted and used to spy and create wars. If drones continue to advance it will result in less confidentiality and less safety

    4. I have been blamed for a lot of things that I never did. It was very annoying but I couldn't change it because people didn’t listen to me. It has been very frustrating because the more that I get blamed for things the more it will be assumed that I did things later.

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  5. 1) I think it was Iran. The text states oil prices recently grew by 14% which is one way for them to get more money by barrel of oil, and the fact that Iranians are even apart of the group of suspects shows they aren't in a good position here.

    2) I think the U.S should look into it since all this is affecting lots of places in the world and isn't only about the middle east, and since the U.S had nothing to do with it they are the perfect country to do it. When we find whoever caused the explosion they should get punished in whatever way fits this type of situation.

    3) I like drones but they are getting overused. They started off as something to take videos of things people couldn't physically take themselves to things for people to play with, to things to deliver packages, now they're weapons. I think drones should be banned from certain areas, it would be difficult to tell whether a drone is being played with by a kid or controlled by someone dangerous.

    4) I have been blamed for things I didn't do. Like breaking glass or leaving doors open, but they are usually just annoying and ruin my mood for some time. So far nothing too serious has been blamed on me for it to affect me long term.

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  7. 1. I think this attack was a collaboration of sorts between the Houthis and Iran. The article says that the attack exceeds anything the Houthis has previously done, which leads me to believe that Iran, a director competitor to Saudi Arabia and supporter of the Houthis, helped with the attack. Iran doesn't claim responsibility for the attack, but they are not necessarily telling the truth, because if they did claim responsibility, it would cause conflict.

    2. I think Saudi Arabia should react, but not the United States, because we have no need for another unnecessary war. United States involvement raises the scale of this conflict, as well, causing more violence.

    3. Drone technology, like most developing technology, is both fascinating and terrifying. The convenience of drones delivering Amazon packages is intriguing, but it is also worrying as it would label numerous jobs redundant. Additionally, as drones continue to develop, it will definitely go beyond simple things like delivery. As for the use of drones in war and the rapid technological advances we are experiencing, it is frightening to imagine what future wars may look like with both new drone technology and newer nuclear technology. For these reasons, I believe drone technology may be developing too fast for humans to properly weigh the benefits and consequences of using it.

    4. Once someone I was somewhat close with claimed I said rude remarks about one of their friends, even though this was not true. It was a very difficult experience because I was concerned about how others' opinion may change about me if those false rumors spread. In addition, I was unsure how to clarify that I did not say those remarks without sounding untrustworthy or dishonest.

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  9. I think that Iran is responsible for the horrific attacks against the Saudi Arabia oil refinery. In the article it states that the operation was to advanced for the Houthis.

    I believe that America should send warning missiles at Iran so they will learn to stop, and protect future accidents. This would not only save oil but humans.

    I feel that drones are very cool and be very useful for the right reasons. Although drones can also be harmful and create destruction.

    I was once blamed for something that wasn't my fault. I was very frustrated and upset because the truth was not heard.

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  10. 1. Using the evidence provided by the article, Iran is most likely responsible for the attack. The weapons used in the attack were stated to be very sophisticated and must have been given by a country like Iran. Even if the Houthis launched the attack, Iran is still responsible because they supplies them with the weapons.

    2. I think the Saudi Arabian government shouldn't jump strait the the conclusion of retaliating by means of violence. If they do so, it could potentially further drag the US into this conflict and start a war.

    3. Some technological advancements like drones could do more harm than good. Since drones have already been invented, there's no way to stop people from finding ways to manipulate it but in the future, we should be careful about inventing things that have a large potential of harming society like a time machine.

    4. In the past, every time there's a unknown payment that my parents see, they always go to me first because I am seen as the trouble maker in the family even though I have never made a purchase without the consent of my parents. This has happened so much now that it has become habit for my parents.

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  11. Based on the evidence from the article, who do you believe was responsible for this dramatic attack on this Saudi Arabia refinery
    Based on the article, evidence shows that Iran is responsible for the attack on the Saudia Arabia refinery. The Houthis, a rebel group based in Iran had taken the blame for the attack unaware of all the evidence pointing towards involvement with Iran itself. The complicity and precision of the attack is far too advanced for the Houthis group to perform on their own, proving involvement with other groups or help from Iran. After further investigation, the attack on the Saudia Arabia refinery seems to have been launched by Iran itself.

    What should happen next - in other words, who should respond and ho
    If the evidence is correct, and the attack on Saudia Arabia was launched by Iran the United States should take initiative and punish Iran for the damage they have done. Thus causing the United States military to get involved in order to prevent another attack and insure Saudia Arabia's safety.

    Drones can now be used to take pictures and video, spy on enemies, deliver Amazon packages and create a full scale air war. How do you personally feel about the future of drone technology in the world?
    Throughout history, technology has evolved and has become very popular in our current generation. Technology such as drones and cameras are composed of advanced technology that if not used correctly can be very dangerous. With the technology formed today there are no restrictions causing me to feel violated and uncertain about the privacy I obtain.

    Have you ever been blamed for something that was not your fault/you did not do? If so, what was that experience like and did it change anything for you in the long run?
    Being the middle child and older sister in the family I get blamed for things very often. It is very difficult to experience consequences for something you didn't do, but it made me aware of how I would need to change in order to ensure I wouldn't get blamed again. It also made me realize how I would be punished if I were to do anything similar, and caused me to rethink my actions every time before I responded. Overall getting blamed for things you didn't do is an experience that builds your character and shows one what punishment would be received for a certain action.

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  12. 1. Based on the information brought up in this article, I believe that Iran gave the weapons to the Houthis and they carried out the attack. The weapons used and the amount is far too much for a group like Houthis, so I think it makes sense that it was the making of something bigger. In addition, Houthis claimed that they were the ones who attacked so this further adds to evidence that it was carried out by the Houthis using Iran weapons.

    2. If Iran truly gave the weapons to the Houthis then for Saudi Arabian safety I think that the U.S should intervene. It is our duty as a county to help out another country that is in need.

    3. I find drone intriguing and terrifying. Throughout all of history technology has been getting more and more advanced and at this point drone can be used in so many ways. I think the most frightening way is as an invasion of privacy. On the contrary drones can also be used innocently as just a cool thing to do for fun.

    4. Just like and other kid with siblings I often get blamed for things. An experience like that can make you feel like no one trusts you. In the future it often makes people worried about what other do, cause they could get blamed for it.

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  13. 1. I think that Iran is responsible for the attacks simply because the Houthis don't seem to have access to technology advanced enough in order to preform such an attack. If it were to be the Houthis it wouldn't make much sense how they could fly a drone all the way from Yemen.

    2. If Iran did preform the attack I think that the United States should retaliate so they can get Iran to back out.

    3. I've always thought drones were cool to have and use for fun, but now the uses for them are changing and have gotten almost too far. The fact that launching attacks on drones is now possible is crazy. The drones people use for fun are the same drones used for spying and launching attacks. I feel like our world will come up with cool new uses for drones kind of like the amazon one, but I also feel we will find new ideas that involve drones and violence.

    4. All my life I have been blamed for things I haven't done mainly because of my two younger sisters. All they have to do is team up on me and say that I did something when I didn't, and my parents will believe them pretty much all the time. Being blamed all the time is not only annoying but it's actually frustrating. When my parents believe my sisters I will usually receive some type of punishment. It doesn't matter how bad the punishment is, it's just the fact that Im getting one for something I didn't do. And also I feel like I lose trust from my parents every time I'm punished. The worst part is having to earn their trust back knowing you did nothing wrong.

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  14. 1) Based on the evidence from the article I believe that Iran is at least partially responsible for the attacks. The Houthis alone did not have that kind of technology, and if Iran has helped them get new technology then they are at least partially responsible for the damage done to the Saudi oil fields.

    2) At the moment there isn't enough evidence for the US to react on a military scale, but it should still defend its Saudi allies. The Saudi Arabians however, can and should respond more directly, as it affects them more directly.

    3) I personally think that drones are really cool, but also really scary. They could completely change the way we live as humans. this can be cool and fun in some cases, for example, they are more efficient for deliveries and many companies, such as amazon, will start using them instead of delivery people, which is more cost-efficient for the company. Unfortunately, that means that a lot of people will be pushed out of jobs, and there won't be as many jobs left for people with lower education, because many people with manual labor jobs can be replaced by drones and other new technology. As for their role in warfare, they are just another weapon, that could be used for good, or could be abused and used to terrorize people.

    4) As the oldest sibling in my family, I get blamed for a lot of stuff that I didn't do, or that wasn't my fault. I generally can reason with people, but it really frustrates me when one of my siblings does something intentionally to harm me and then I get in trouble for "provoking them''. It also really bothers me when I see my siblings doing something that I would get yelled at for, with no consequences.

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  15. Blog HW
    Graham Lee
    History
    9-22-19

    1) Based on the evidence presented by the article, I believe that Iran supplied the drones to the Houthis. Iran is smart enough not to directly attack Saudi Arabia, as it would be considered an act of war. They gave the drones to the Houthis so that they could carry out the attack. Some may say that the Houthis could have attacked on their own accord. However, the Houthis are a small rebel group, and they do not have the resources necessary to fund a drone attack like the one on the Saudi Arabian oil facilities. What most likely happened is that the Iranians gave the Houthis the resources necessary to pull of the attack on Saudi Arabia.

    2)I think what is going to happen is that somebody is going to find out that Iran was supporting the attacks on the Saudi Arabian oil factories. However, I believe there won’t be much conflict that springs from that. President Trump is running for president again this year, and he will need support from the people of the US if he wants to win. Starting conflict with Iran will make people dislike him, which is not in his best interests. Additionally, other presidential candidates can use something like that against him. If there is any conflict between the US and Iran, it would likely be after the presidential election.

    3)Personally, I dislike drones. I had a cousin that flew a drone into me a couple years ago at Thanksgiving, and I have hated them since then. Of course, I have other reasons for hating drones other than that. For example, I find them untrustworthy. I wouldn’t trust a drone to deliver my Amazon package to my house, as it is not self aware like humans are. Drones are machines, and machines can mountfunction or be hacked. I would not like to live in a society with drones a part of everyday life.

    4)I have 2 younger siblings, so I am often blamed for stuff that i didn’t do. For example, yesterday I got blamed for drinking a couple cans of Pepsi behind my parents backs. I know it was my younger brother, since he loves Pepsi(and pretty much any soda). On the other hand, I hate Pepsi since I never drink caffeine. My parents must have forgotten that I never drink anything with caffeine, and thought that I was the culprit.

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  16. 1) Based on evidence told, I believe that Iran made the attack on Saudi. The Houthis did not and still does not have the technology to pursue this kind of attack on their own, but with Iran's help they definitely have the capability.

    2) If the Houthis and Iran did attack Saudi, then the U.S. should interfere with them and pay for what they did. But telling by the evidence that we have, no one should do anything until it is official.

    3) Personally, I feel that the drones are good for delivering packages and maybe food at sometime, but not for spying and destroying countries. The fact that they have pictures of the lands and major companies affects so many peoples lives. Not just people in the surrounding counties of Saudi, but the America's are in trouble too involving oil. The thing about drones is, they are safer than going to spy by person. The way drones have changed, from being kids toys, to now weapons, definitely changes the way I see things about them. So I do not support the idea of using drones during war.

    4) Of course I have been blamed for things and stuff I did not do. I am the oldest sibling in my family so my brother will find the need to put things on me that he did. For example, he broke a window. He decided to say I did it when I was not even outside with him. I have blamed for many more things I did not do, that is just one.

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  19. 1.I think the Iranians committed this attack on Saudi Arabia. The Houthis do not have the technology to perform an attack with such precision, but the Iranians do. The Houthis under no circumstances would be able to perform this attack due to the distance as well. This attack could only be performed from the Iranians according to the news article.
    2.I believe an investigation should be performed to find out who actually did this attack. I believe Saudi Arabia and the US should respond because they’re allies and this is a big issue, 6% of all oil is a lot.
    3.I feel scared and hopeful for drones. Due to the versatility of drones, drones can cause harm or be helpful. Drones carrying missiles are scary but drones working with Amazon are very useful. Drones are going to have a lot of influence in the future.
    4.I have been blamed for things I haven’t done, it’s a very bad feeling and makes you see things differently. The experience was very bad and angering because I knew I wasn’t the one who did it but I was the one facing the consequences. This made me stay away from anything I know is not okay because even if I didn’t do it, I can get blamed.

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  20. Based on the evidence from the article, Iran was responsible for the attacks on the oil refinery based on the technology of the Houthis. From the damage after the attack, the attacks might have involved multiple drones and cruise missiles that did not originate from Yemen. Perhaps the Iranians conspired with the Houthis to attack the oil refinery. With former attacks by the Houthis, their weaponry was less sophisticated. The likelihood of the Iranians supplying the Houthis with advanced weaponry is high, making the Iranians responsible.

    As the U.S ad, other countries are affected by the damage of the oil refinery the U.S should first confirm that Iran was responsible for the attacks. If confirmed, the U.S and other countries should fund the repair of the oil refinery and demand money out of the Iranians. If the Iranians do not comply, perhaps the U.S military could resort to deploying troops.

    Now that drones are capable of multiple abilities, I have mixed opinions on the use of drones. I think that using drones for deliveries is a great innovation for online shopping. However, the use of drones for spying could be problematic as countries could create conflict between one another.

    Once, I was falsely accused of staying up too late when I overslept. The experience was frustrating and I had to go to bed early for the next week.

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  21. 1. I believe that Iran was to blame for the attacks on the oil refinery. The weapons used were far to advanced for the houthis to use, so even if the Houthis launched the attack, Iran at least helped make it happen. In addition, the damage caused involved different drones and cruise missiles that are far too advanced for the Houthis, so the likely hood that the Houthis were fully responsible is minimal.
    2. Agreeing with Nick, I believe that Saudi Arabia should be who retaliates. They should use there stronger weapons to fight back. But, the U.S should not but in and cause anymore issues. If the U.S does, a fight or even war may begin, and that is the last thing everyone wants.
    3. Although drones are a fun toy to play around with, what there capable of doing will not do good things. Many people love playing around with drones, and flying them wherever they please, however, other people use them as a way to spy on people without permission to video them.
    4. Being blamed for a crime you didn't commit is horrible. Personally, I have experienced this multiple times, and although the person who accuses you probably has solid reasons to believe this, it still hurts that someone thinks that poorly of you.

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    Replies
    1. Nice job here - turned in late but good job following up. 4/5

      Delete

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